Middle Tennessee (power rating: -20.2) carries a 3.9-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sam Houston's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Elliott T. Bowers Stadium shows Clear, 87°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 10 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
87°F

| Measure | Middle TennesseeAway | Sam HoustonHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 638 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 826 miles | Home game |
| Season total | 4,942 miles | 6,223 miles |
| Body clock | 13:00 | 13:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Middle Tennessee travels 638 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.