Week 12 •
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

2-3 CUSA Power rating: -18.3
1-4 CUSA Power rating: -17.2

Is there value in the Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SHSU -3.6
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MTSUfavors SHSU ▸
SHSU
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1 MTSU1 SHSU2 MTSU2 SHSUModel: SHSU -3.6

Sam Houston (power rating: -17.2) holds a 1.1-point advantage over Middle Tennessee (-18.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sam Houston's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium?

The latest reading for Elliott T. Bowers Stadium shows Overcast, 65°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Middle Tennessee and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Sam Houston (-17.2) over Middle Tennessee (-18.3) by 1.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Sam Houston -3.6. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

65°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity44%
Wind4 mph E
Gusts4 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston: aerial view of Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, wind from the E at 3.8 mph, gusting to 4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM CST
Venue
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Capacity
14,000
Elevation
446 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Middle TennesseeAway Sam HoustonHome
This week638 miles0 miles
Last week826 milesHome game
Season total4,942 miles6,223 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest7 days7 days

Middle Tennessee travels 638 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.