Iowa (power rating: 12.8) carries a 8.6-point advantage over Illinois (4.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Illinois's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2) narrows that gap at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) shows Overcast, 54°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
54°F

| Measure | IowaAway | IllinoisHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 204 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 3,388 miles |
| Season total | 5,022 miles | 5,688 miles |
| Body clock | 23:00 | 23:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Iowa travels 204 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.