Week 12 •
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Iowa @ Illinois , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

4-1 Big Ten Power rating: 12.8
2-3 Big Ten Power rating: 4.2

Is there value in the Iowa vs Illinois line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
IOWA -6.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors IOWAfavors ILL ▸
‹ 8.6 IOWA
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1 IOWA1 ILL2 IOWA2 ILLModel: IOWA -6.1

Iowa (power rating: 12.8) carries a 8.6-point advantage over Illinois (4.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Illinois's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2) narrows that gap at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Iowa vs Illinois at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)?

The latest reading for Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) shows Overcast, 54°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Iowa and Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa (12.8) over Illinois (4.2) by 8.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Illinois faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Illinois brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Iowa -6.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

54°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind12 mph ENE
Gusts23 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Iowa at Illinois: aerial view of Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), wind from the ENE at 12.1 mph, gusting to 22.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Capacity
60,670
Elevation
771 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure IowaAway IllinoisHome
This week204 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,388 miles
Season total5,022 miles5,688 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Iowa travels 204 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.