Week 12 •
Peden Stadium

Ball State @ Ohio , Week 12, Nov 18, 2026

1-4 MAC Power rating: -21.7
3-2 MAC Power rating: -8.8

Is there value in the Ball State vs Ohio line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
OHIO -16.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BALLfavors OHIO ▸
12.9 › OHIO
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1 BALL1 OHIO2 BALL2 OHIO3 BALL3 OHIOModel: OHIO -16.0

Ohio (power rating: -8.8) holds a 12.9-point advantage over Ball State (-21.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ohio's home field adds 3.3 points to that advantage at Peden Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Ball State vs Ohio at Peden Stadium?

The latest reading for Peden Stadium shows Clear, 54°F with winds of 8 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Ball State and Ohio compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio (-8.8) over Ball State (-21.7) by 12.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Ohio -16.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

54°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity79%
Wind8 mph N
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Ball State at Ohio: aerial view of Peden Stadium, wind from the N at 7.6 mph, gusting to 20.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Peden Stadium
Capacity
25,210
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Ball StateAway OhioHome
This week187 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game283 miles
Season total3,641 miles7,935 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest7 days7 days

Ball State travels 187 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.