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Week 12 •
UB Stadium

Central Michigan @ Buffalo

3-2 MAC Power rating: -11.8
2-3 MAC Power rating: -17.3

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Central Michigan vs Buffalo line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
CMU -3.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors CMUfavors BUF ▸
‹ 5.5 CMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BUF
no impact
no impact
no impact
BUF
1 CMU1 BUF2 CMU2 BUFModel: CMU -3.0

Central Michigan (power rating: -11.8) carries a 5.5-point advantage over Buffalo (-17.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Buffalo's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at UB Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Central Michigan vs Buffalo at UB Stadium?

The latest reading for UB Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 45°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Central Michigan and Buffalo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Central Michigan (-11.8) over Buffalo (-17.3) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Buffalo faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Buffalo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Central Michigan and Buffalo?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Central Michigan -3.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

45°F

Rain20%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind12 mph NNW
Gusts22 mph
Wind chill39°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Central Michigan at Buffalo: aerial view of UB Stadium, wind from the NNW at 12.3 mph, gusting to 21.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
UB Stadium
Capacity
25,013
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Central MichiganAway BuffaloHome
This week305 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game787 miles
Season total6,290 miles4,801 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Central Michigan travels 305 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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