Iowa State (power rating: 4.2) carries a 1.3-point advantage over UCF (2.9) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UCF's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2) narrows that gap at FBC Mortgage Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Iowa State's trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for FBC Mortgage Stadium shows Light rain shower, 74°F with winds of 15 mph. Gusts reaching 29 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. There is a 75% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Light rain shower
74°F
| Measure | Iowa StateAway | UCFHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,159 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 7,097 miles | 7,629 miles |
| Body clock | 17:00 | 18:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 6 days |
Iowa State travels 1,159 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Iowa State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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