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Week 12 •
Falcon Stadium

UTEP @ Air Force

1-4 MW Power rating: -23.3
3-1 MW Power rating: -4.3

By · Last updated

Is there value in the UTEP vs Air Force line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
AF -21.9
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UTEPfavors AF ▸
19.0 › AF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
AF
no impact
no impact
AF
no impact
1 UTEP1 AF2 UTEP2 AFModel: AF -21.9

Air Force (power rating: -4.3) holds a 19.0-point advantage over UTEP (-23.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Air Force's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Falcon Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the altitude. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect UTEP vs Air Force at Falcon Stadium?

The latest reading for Falcon Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 55°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do UTEP and Air Force compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Air Force (-4.3) over UTEP (-23.3) by 19.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Air Force brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UTEP and Air Force?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Air Force -21.9. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

55°F

Rain19%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind8 mph SSW
Gusts11 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UTEP at Air Force: aerial view of Falcon Stadium, wind from the SSW at 7.6 mph, gusting to 10.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM MST
Venue
Falcon Stadium
Capacity
39,441
Elevation
6,657 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UTEPAway Air ForceHome
This week507 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total7,327 miles6,939 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days6 days

UTEP travels 507 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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