Week 12 •
Doak Campbell Stadium

NC State @ Florida State , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

3-2 ACC Power rating: 4.5
3-2 ACC Power rating: 9.8

Is there value in the NC State vs Florida State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FSU -8.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NCSUfavors FSU ▸
5.3 › FSU
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1 NCSU1 FSU2 NCSU2 FSU3 NCSU3 FSUModel: FSU -8.3

Florida State (power rating: 9.8) holds a 5.3-point advantage over NC State (4.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida State's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Doak Campbell Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect NC State vs Florida State at Doak Campbell Stadium?

The latest reading for Doak Campbell Stadium shows Clear, 71°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do NC State and Florida State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida State (9.8) over NC State (4.5) by 5.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Florida State -8.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

71°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind4 mph NW
Gusts4 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for NC State at Florida State: aerial view of Doak Campbell Stadium, wind from the NW at 3.8 mph, gusting to 3.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
95 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure NC StateAway Florida StateHome
This week491 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,462 miles
Season total6,499 miles6,071 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

NC State travels 491 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.