@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 12 •
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Memphis @ Navy

4-1 American Power rating: 1.2
1-3 American Power rating: -5.0

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Memphis vs Navy line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MEM -3.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MEMfavors NAVY ▸
‹ 6.2 MEM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NAVY
NAVY
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 MEM1 NAVY2 MEM2 NAVYModel: MEM -3.4

Memphis (power rating: 1.2) carries a 6.2-point advantage over Navy (-5.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Navy's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Navy's bye week. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Memphis vs Navy at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium shows Overcast, 63°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Memphis and Navy compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (1.2) over Navy (-5.0) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Navy faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Navy brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Memphis and Navy?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Memphis -3.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 10, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

63°F

Rain19%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind8 mph SSE
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Memphis at Navy: aerial view of Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, wind from the SSE at 7.8 mph, gusting to 14.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity
34,000
Elevation
39 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MemphisAway NavyHome
This week790 miles0 miles
Last week1,321 milesBye week
Season total9,729 miles9,729 miles
Body clock11:0012:00
Rest8 days14 days

Memphis travels 790 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Memphis arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Other games this week