Week 4
Jones AT&T Stadium

Sam Houston @ Texas Tech , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -24.1
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 20.9

Is there value in the Sam Houston vs Texas Tech line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TTU -48.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SHSUfavors TTU ▸
45.0 › TTU
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1 SHSU1 TTU2 SHSU2 TTU3 SHSU3 TTUModel: TTU -48.5

Texas Tech (power rating: 20.9) holds a 45.0-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas Tech's home field adds 2.8 points to that advantage at Jones AT&T Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the altitude and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Sam Houston vs Texas Tech at Jones AT&T Stadium?

The latest reading for Jones AT&T Stadium shows Clear, 78°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Sam Houston and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (20.9) over Sam Houston (-24.1) by 45.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas Tech -48.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

78°F

Rain3%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind12 mph S
Gusts18 mph
Wind map for Sam Houston at Texas Tech: aerial view of Jones AT&T Stadium, wind from the S at 11.9 mph, gusting to 18.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium
Capacity
60,229
Elevation
3,228 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sam HoustonAway Texas TechHome
This week421 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,565 miles2,742 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Sam Houston travels 421 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.