Week 9 •
SECU Stadium

Illinois @ Maryland , Week 9, Oct 31, 2026

2-3 Big Ten Power rating: 4.2
2-3 Big Ten Power rating: -1.4

Is there value in the Illinois vs Maryland line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ILL -2.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ILLfavors MD ▸
‹ 5.6 ILL
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MD
MD
no impact
no impact
MD
1 ILL1 MD2 ILL2 MDModel: ILL -2.4

Illinois (power rating: 4.2) carries a 5.6-point advantage over Maryland (-1.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Maryland's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at SECU Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges Maryland's bye week, with a slighter reading for the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Illinois vs Maryland at SECU Stadium?

The latest reading for SECU Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 63°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Illinois and Maryland compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Illinois (4.2) over Maryland (-1.4) by 5.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Maryland faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Maryland brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Illinois -2.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

63°F

Rain20%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind14 mph NW
Gusts25 mph
Wind map for Illinois at Maryland: aerial view of SECU Stadium, wind from the NW at 13.6 mph, gusting to 25.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EDT
Venue
SECU Stadium
Capacity
51,802
Elevation
148 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure IllinoisAway MarylandHome
This week607 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total1,693 miles3,369 miles
Body clock23:0000:00
Rest7 days14 days

Illinois travels 607 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Illinois arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.