Wake Forest Demon Deacons is 6-1 on the season, 5-2 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +15.5. Wake Forest Demon Deacons is covering the spread at 70% since the start of last season (14-6), well above the FBS average. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons host Virginia next in Week 9.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Wake Forest Demon Deacons Power Rating of +15.5 is 15.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Wake Forest Demon Deacons have logged 6,398 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,907 miles, ranking 43rd heaviest in the FBS.
Gio Lopez QB, Clinton Richard OL, Carlos Hernandez WR, Ny Carr WR, Chase Tyler WR, Wondame Davis Jr. WR, Kam Shanks WR
Gabe Kirschke EDGE, Langston Hardy EDGE, Davaughn Patterson S, Rushaun Tongue S
Ethan Hyams P, Connor Calvert K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Week 9 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Week 10 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 8-3 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 9-4 | 8-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +3.8 in the preseason and finished +15.5 after week 8, a move of +11.7 points. High +15.5 (week 8), low +3.1 (week 3).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.1 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Louisville | 7 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Stanford | 1 | 1-0 | 0-0-1 |
| NC State | 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| California | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Virginia | 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| SMU | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Georgia Tech | 3 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Duke | 9 | 4-5 | 5-4 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Akron, Purdue, Merrimack.
Week 08,907 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Akron | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Purdue | 468 mi | 936 mi |
| Week 3 | Miami | Home | 936 mi |
| Week 4 | Louisville | 336 mi | 1,608 mi |
| Week 5 | Stanford | Home | 1,608 mi |
| Week 6 | NC State | 89 mi | 1,786 mi |
| Week 7 | California | 2,306 mi | 6,398 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Virginia | Home | 6,398 mi |
| Week 10 | Merrimack | Home | 6,398 mi |
| Week 11 | SMU | 969 mi | 8,336 mi |
| Week 12 | Georgia Tech | 286 mi | 8,907 mi |
| Week 13 | Duke | Home | 8,907 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Gio Lopez has been the engine of Wake Forest's 5-1 start, throwing for 350 yards and three touchdowns in his debut against Akron, then running for 59 yards and two scores with the game-winning two-point conversion in double overtime at Purdue. He threw for 312 yards and three touchdowns against Miami and 225 yards and a score at Louisville. His reunion with offensive coordinator Rob Ezell, who coached him at South Alabama in 2024, has unlocked the version of Lopez that produced over 3,000 yards of offense and 25 touchdowns that season, rather than the erratic one from his year at North Carolina. Against Stanford he accounted for five touchdowns (three rushing, two passing) in three quarters, matching his entire 2025 rushing touchdown total. He has been at his best in the biggest moments, and that is the single biggest reason this team is 5-1.
The preseason outlook sold this unit as the strength of the team, with edge rushers Gabe Kirschke and Langston Hardy returning after combining for 12 sacks and 26 tackles for loss last season. But the back end has been picked apart since the opener. Akron managed 305 total yards and two late touchdowns after the outcome was decided. Purdue rallied from 23-13 down in the fourth quarter behind 329 passing yards from Ryan Browne and 114 rushing yards and three scores from Fame Ijeboi. Miami hung 33 points on Wake Forest at home. Louisville put up 27 in a game the Deacons won by three. The one exception was Stanford, which was held to 197 yards and three points, but that is a Cardinal team that has scored in single digits in all three of its losses. The second-half fade has shown up in nearly every game, and it remains the biggest vulnerability.
Wake Forest has won its last two games by a combined five points, and four of its five wins have come by margins of 22, two, three, and 24 points. The Deacons have committed 10 or more penalties in three games, including 13 for 137 yards against Miami and 10 for an unspecified yardage at Louisville. Against the Cardinals they fumbled on their own side of the field in the fourth quarter with the game tied, yet still found a way to win. Connor Calvert has been reliable, making three field goals in each of the Purdue and Louisville wins, including a 32-yarder with 6:20 remaining that proved to be the game-winner against the Cardinals. Gabe Kirschke blocked a 57-yard Louisville field goal attempt with 15 seconds left to seal that upset. This team does not put opponents away, but it makes the plays that decide games.
The preseason concern about replacing multiple starters up front has not been a disaster. Lopez was sacked only once in the first two games, and the Deacons ran for 105 yards on just seven carries against Akron. Miami's defensive front held Wake Forest to 22 yards on 16 carries, but the line rebounded at Louisville with 177 yards on 42 carries, including 91 yards and two touchdowns from Ty Clark III and 64 yards on 10 attempts from freshman Deuce Lawrence. Against Stanford, the Deacons produced more than 500 yards of total offense with 12 different players catching at least one pass. Clinton Richard has been a building block, and the group has survived the ACC gauntlet well enough to keep Lopez upright and the running game functional.
Wake Forest sits at 5-1 and 2-1 in the ACC, with its only loss coming to a Miami team that was ranked fifth in the country. The Deacons have already matched their win total from Jake Dickert's first season (nine) with six games still to play, and they are positioned to make a run at the Top 25. The remaining schedule includes a trip to California, which is 3-3 with a power rating well below Wake Forest's, followed by the rest of the ACC slate. The key questions are whether the defense can stop fading in the second half, whether the penalty problem can be cleaned up, and whether Lopez can stay healthy and productive. If those things happen, this team has the experience, depth, and playmaking to grind out more close wins and potentially challenge for a spot in the conference championship conversation.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons is 5-2 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 71% of games.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +15.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -125 over and -105 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons travels 8,907 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 43rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 6-1 overall, 5-2 ATS, power rating +15.5 (2026 records).