DraftKings · as of August 22, 2026
SMU (power rating: 12.8) carries a 1.2-point advantage over Louisville (11.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Louisville's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3) narrows that gap at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. The market line is Louisville -1.5 and our model shows Louisville -2.1; Model matches the market. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium shows Clear, 74°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Louisville -1.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Louisville -2.1; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.
Clear
74°F
| Measure | SMUAway | LouisvilleHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 722 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 2,229 miles | 303 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 8 days |
SMU travels 722 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. SMU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
