Week 10
AmFirst Stadium

Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State , Week 10, Nov 8, 2026

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -24.1
0-1 CUSA Power rating: -7.5

Is there value in the Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
JXST -19.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SHSUfavors JXST ▸
16.6 › JXST
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1 SHSU1 JXST2 SHSU2 JXSTModel: JXST -19.4

Jacksonville State (power rating: -7.5) holds a 16.6-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Jacksonville State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at AmFirst Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State at AmFirst Stadium?

The latest reading for AmFirst Stadium shows Clear, 78°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Sam Houston and Jacksonville State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-7.5) over Sam Houston (-24.1) by 16.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Jacksonville State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Jacksonville State -19.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

78°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity74%
Wind4 mph SSW
Gusts5 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Sam Houston at Jacksonville State: aerial view of AmFirst Stadium, wind from the SSW at 4.3 mph, gusting to 4.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CST
Venue
AmFirst Stadium
Capacity
22,500
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sam HoustonAway Jacksonville StateHome
This week611 miles0 miles
Last week931 miles2,440 miles
Season total5,613 miles5,585 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest11 days10 days

Sam Houston travels 611 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.