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Week 9 •
Aggie Memorial Stadium

Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State

4-2 CUSA Power rating: -5.7
2-4 CUSA Power rating: -15.1

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
JXST -7.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors JXSTfavors NMSU ▸
‹ 9.4 JXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NMSU
JXST
NMSU
NMSU
no impact
1 JXST1 NMSU2 JXST2 NMSUModel: JXST -7.2

Jacksonville State (power rating: -5.7) carries a 9.4-point advantage over New Mexico State (-15.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. New Mexico State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2) narrows that gap at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges Jacksonville State's bye week, with a slighter reading for Jacksonville State's trip and the altitude. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State at Aggie Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for Aggie Memorial Stadium shows Clear, 62°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Jacksonville State and New Mexico State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-5.7) over New Mexico State (-15.1) by 9.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Jacksonville State and New Mexico State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Jacksonville State -7.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

62°F

Rain3%
Precip0.00"
Humidity58%
Wind2 mph ESE
Gusts2 mph
Wind map for Jacksonville State at New Mexico State: aerial view of Aggie Memorial Stadium, wind from the ESE at 1.6 mph, gusting to 1.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM MDT
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity
28,853
Elevation
3,970 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Jacksonville StateAway New Mexico StateHome
This week1,220 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,339 miles
Season total4,365 miles13,735 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest15 days7 days

Jacksonville State travels 1,220 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Jacksonville State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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