Week 5
Kinnick Stadium

Ohio State @ Iowa , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 32.2
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 14.7

Is there value in the Ohio State vs Iowa line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
OSU -15.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors OSUfavors IOWA ▸
‹ 17.5 OSU
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1 OSU1 IOWA2 OSU2 IOWAModel: OSU -15.2

Ohio State (power rating: 32.2) carries a 17.5-point advantage over Iowa (14.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Iowa's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Kinnick Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Ohio State vs Iowa at Kinnick Stadium?

The latest reading for Kinnick Stadium shows Light rain shower, 71°F with winds of 11 mph. Gusts reaching 30 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Ohio State and Iowa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio State (32.2) over Iowa (14.7) by 17.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Iowa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Iowa brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Ohio State -15.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

71°F

Rain25%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind11 mph SE
Gusts30 mph
Wind map for Ohio State at Iowa: aerial view of Kinnick Stadium, wind from the SE at 11 mph, gusting to 29.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Kinnick Stadium
Capacity
69,250
Elevation
722 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Ohio StateAway IowaHome
This week461 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game808 miles
Season total2,594 miles808 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Ohio State travels 461 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Ohio State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.