Week 11 •
Center Parc Stadium

Georgia Southern @ Georgia State , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

2-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -5.8
4-1 Sun Belt Power rating: -5.4

Is there value in the Georgia Southern vs Georgia State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
GAST -1.4
Edge
No line posted
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GAST
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GASO
1 GASO1 GAST2 GASO2 GASTModel: GAST -1.4

Georgia State (power rating: -5.4) and Georgia Southern (-5.8) are rated essentially even on a neutral field by Blue Chip Analytics. Georgia State's home field advantage (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3) is the primary differentiator at Center Parc Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Georgia Southern vs Georgia State at Center Parc Stadium?

The latest reading for Center Parc Stadium shows Clear, 59°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Georgia Southern and Georgia State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Georgia Southern (-5.8) and Georgia State (-5.4) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Georgia State -1.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

59°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity32%
Wind12 mph E
Gusts27 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Georgia Southern at Georgia State: aerial view of Center Parc Stadium, wind from the E at 11.9 mph, gusting to 27.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Center Parc Stadium
Capacity
24,333
Elevation
978 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Georgia SouthernAway Georgia StateHome
This week177 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game459 miles
Season total2,264 miles2,972 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Georgia Southern travels 177 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.