Week 5
Arizona Stadium

Cincinnati @ Arizona , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 5.0
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 8.9

Is there value in the Cincinnati vs Arizona line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ARIZ -7.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors CINfavors ARIZ ▸
3.9 › ARIZ
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1 CIN1 ARIZ2 CIN2 ARIZModel: ARIZ -7.7

Arizona (power rating: 8.9) holds a 3.9-point advantage over Cincinnati (5.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arizona's home field adds 2.4 points to that advantage at Arizona Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Cincinnati's westward trip and the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Cincinnati vs Arizona at Arizona Stadium?

The latest reading for Arizona Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 91°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Cincinnati and Arizona compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arizona (8.9) over Cincinnati (5.0) by 3.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Arizona -7.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

91°F

Rain17%
Precip0.00"
Humidity22%
Wind10 mph SSE
Gusts13 mph
Heat index88°F
Wind map for Cincinnati at Arizona: aerial view of Arizona Stadium, wind from the SSE at 9.8 mph, gusting to 13 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
09:00 PM MST
Venue
Arizona Stadium
Capacity
50,782
Elevation
2,438 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure CincinnatiAway ArizonaHome
This week1,555 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,107 miles
Season total1,555 miles3,217 miles
Body clock00:0021:00
Rest7 days7 days

Cincinnati travels 1,555 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.