Week 5
FAU Stadium

Texas Southern @ Florida Atlantic , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 SWAC Power rating: -29.6
0-0 American Power rating: -9.9

Is there value in the Texas Southern vs Florida Atlantic line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FAU -22.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TXSOfavors FAU ▸
19.7 › FAU
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1 TXSO1 FAU2 TXSO2 FAUModel: FAU -22.5

Florida Atlantic (power rating: -9.9) holds a 19.7-point advantage over Texas Southern (-29.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida Atlantic's home field adds 2.3 points to that advantage at FAU Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Texas Southern's trip and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas Southern vs Florida Atlantic at FAU Stadium?

The latest reading for FAU Stadium shows Clear, 85°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Texas Southern and Florida Atlantic compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida Atlantic (-9.9) over Texas Southern (-29.6) by 19.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida Atlantic brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Florida Atlantic -22.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

85°F

Rain6%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind11 mph ESE
Gusts14 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for Texas Southern at Florida Atlantic: aerial view of FAU Stadium, wind from the ESE at 10.5 mph, gusting to 14 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
FAU Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Texas SouthernAway Florida AtlanticHome
This week959 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,671 miles
Season total2,315 miles2,199 miles
Body clock17:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

Texas Southern travels 959 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Texas Southern arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.