Week 4
Carter-Finley Stadium

App State @ NC State , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -12.6
0-0 ACC Power rating: 6.5

Is there value in the App State vs NC State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NCSU -22.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors APPfavors NCSU ▸
19.1 › NCSU
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1 APP1 NCSU2 APP2 NCSU3 APP3 NCSUModel: NCSU -22.5

NC State (power rating: 6.5) holds a 19.1-point advantage over App State (-12.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. NC State's home field adds 3.4 points to that advantage at Carter-Finley Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect App State vs NC State at Carter-Finley Stadium?

The latest reading for Carter-Finley Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 75°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do App State and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor NC State (6.5) over App State (-12.6) by 19.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. NC State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this NC State -22.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

75°F

Rain39%
Precip0.01"
Humidity92%
Wind7 mph NW
Gusts13 mph
Wind map for App State at NC State: aerial view of Carter-Finley Stadium, wind from the NW at 6.7 mph, gusting to 13.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EDT
Venue
Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity
56,919
Elevation
410 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure App StateAway NC StateHome
This week169 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game908 miles
Season total661 miles1,216 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

App State travels 169 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.