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Week 13 •
Doak Campbell Stadium

Florida @ Florida State

0-0 SEC Power rating: 11.5
0-0 ACC Power rating: 8.7

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Florida vs Florida State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FSU -0.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors FLAfavors FSU ▸
FLA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 FLA1 FSU2 FLA2 FSU3 FLA3 FSUModel: FSU -0.2

Florida (power rating: 11.5) carries a 2.8-point advantage over Florida State (8.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0) narrows that gap at Doak Campbell Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Florida vs Florida State at Doak Campbell Stadium?

The latest reading for Doak Campbell Stadium shows Light rain shower, 76°F with winds of 5 mph. There is a 53% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Florida and Florida State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida (11.5) over Florida State (8.7) by 2.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida and Florida State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Florida State -0.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

76°F

Rain53%
Precip0.01"
Humidity90%
Wind5 mph W
Gusts11 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida at Florida State: aerial view of Doak Campbell Stadium, wind from the W at 4.9 mph, gusting to 11.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EST
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
95 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

FloridaAway Florida StateHome
This week129 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,035 miles6,071 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest6 days6 days

Florida travels 129 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.