34 Final 55 27 Final 26 @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 13 •
Doak Campbell Stadium

Florida @ Florida State

4-1 SEC Power rating: 14.4
3-2 ACC Power rating: 9.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Florida vs Florida State line?

Market line
FLA -4.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FLA -1.6
Edge
+2.9FSU
See details
◂ favors FLAfavors FSU ▸Market: FLA -4.5
‹ 4.6 FLA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 FLA1 FSU2 FLA2 FSU3 FLA3 FSUModel: FLA -1.6

Betting information

Spread
FLA -4.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
FLA 28.5 – 24.0 FSU

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

Florida (power rating: 14.4) carries a 4.6-point advantage over Florida State (9.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Florida State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0) narrows that gap at Doak Campbell Stadium. The market line is Florida -4.5 and our model shows Florida -1.6; Clear edge toward Florida State. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Florida vs Florida State at Doak Campbell Stadium?

The latest reading for Doak Campbell Stadium shows Clear, 71°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Florida vs Florida State?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Florida -4.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Florida -1.6; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Florida and Florida State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida (14.4) over Florida State (9.8) by 4.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida and Florida State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Florida -1.6, 2.9 points toward Florida State against the market.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

71°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind4 mph NW
Gusts4 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida at Florida State: aerial view of Doak Campbell Stadium, wind from the NW at 3.8 mph, gusting to 3.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EST
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
95 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

FloridaAway Florida StateHome
This week129 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,035 miles6,071 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest6 days6 days

Florida travels 129 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Other games this week