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Week 10 •
Centennial Bank Stadium

UL Monroe @ Arkansas State

0-5 Sun Belt Power rating: -26.3
2-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.4

By · Last updated

Is there value in the UL Monroe vs Arkansas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ARST -19.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ULMfavors ARST ▸
15.9 › ARST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ARST
ARST
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 ULM1 ARST2 ULM2 ARST3 ULM3 ARSTModel: ARST -19.8

Arkansas State (power rating: -10.4) holds a 15.9-point advantage over UL Monroe (-26.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas State's home field adds 3.1 points to that advantage at Centennial Bank Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Arkansas State's bye week. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect UL Monroe vs Arkansas State at Centennial Bank Stadium?

The latest reading for Centennial Bank Stadium shows Clear, 60°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do UL Monroe and Arkansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arkansas State (-10.4) over UL Monroe (-26.3) by 15.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arkansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UL Monroe and Arkansas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Arkansas State -19.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

60°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind8 mph SE
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UL Monroe at Arkansas State: aerial view of Centennial Bank Stadium, wind from the SE at 7.8 mph, gusting to 19.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Centennial Bank Stadium
Capacity
16,343
Elevation
302 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UL MonroeAway Arkansas StateHome
This week242 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,515 miles2,441 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days14 days

UL Monroe travels 242 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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