Week 10 •
M. M. Roberts Stadium

James Madison @ Southern Miss , Week 10, Nov 6, 2026

6-0 Sun Belt Power rating: 8.4
1-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -18.6

Is there value in the James Madison vs Southern Miss line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
JMU -24.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors JMUfavors USM ▸
‹ 27.0 JMU
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1 JMU1 USM2 JMU2 USMModel: JMU -24.2

James Madison (power rating: 8.4) carries a 27.0-point advantage over Southern Miss (-18.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Southern Miss's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from James Madison's extra rest, James Madison's trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect James Madison vs Southern Miss at M. M. Roberts Stadium?

The latest reading for M. M. Roberts Stadium shows Overcast, 69°F with winds of 9 mph. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do James Madison and Southern Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor James Madison (8.4) over Southern Miss (-18.6) by 27.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Southern Miss faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this James Madison -24.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

69°F

Rain19%
Precip0.00"
Humidity71%
Wind9 mph E
Gusts21 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for James Madison at Southern Miss: aerial view of M. M. Roberts Stadium, wind from the E at 8.7 mph, gusting to 21 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CST
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Capacity
36,000
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure James MadisonAway Southern MissHome
This week769 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game362 miles
Season total6,796 miles1,462 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest8 days6 days

James Madison travels 769 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. James Madison arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.