Toledo (power rating: 0.4) carries a 15.2-point advantage over Eastern Michigan (-14.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Eastern Michigan's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5) narrows that gap at Rynearson Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Rynearson Stadium shows Overcast, 54°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Toledo as 68% favorites to beat Eastern Michigan (31%). That implies a market-derived spread of Toledo -5.1. The Blue Chip model makes it Toledo -13.7, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Overcast
54°F
| Measure | ToledoAway | Eastern MichiganHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 41 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 275 miles |
| Season total | 488 miles | 2,118 miles |
| Body clock | 15:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Toledo travels 41 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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