Stanford (power rating: -9.7) holds a 16.3-point advantage over Elon (-26.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Stanford's home field adds 2.4 points to that advantage at Stanford Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Elon's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Stanford Stadium shows Clear, 64°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Stanford as 96% favorites to beat Elon (4%). That implies a market-derived spread of Stanford -21.6. The Blue Chip model makes it Stanford -19.6, a modest gap from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
64°F
| Measure | ElonAway | StanfordHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 2,348 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | 3,853 miles |
| Season total | 2,348 miles | 13,227 miles |
| Body clock | 19:30 | 16:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Elon travels 2,348 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.
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