College Football Week 2 — 2026

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Week 2 of the 2026 season features 80 FBS games. New Mexico State leads all road trips at 3,215 miles. Louisville posts the week's top HFA at 3.2 points. Analysts focused on travel and venue edges will find the ranked sections below most actionable; casual viewers can use the at-a-glance table to scan results.

Biggest Travel Disadvantages This Week

Away teams ranked by road-trip distance. Body-clock offset and rest-day differential compound the edge for home sides.

3,215 miles · +4h body-clock shift · equal rest
New Mexico State travels 3,215 miles to face Hawai'i, arriving with a +4h body-clock shift.
2,426 miles · -3h body-clock shift · home +1d rest
California travels 2,426 miles to face Syracuse, arriving with a -3h body-clock shift.
1,558 miles · +2h body-clock shift · home +1d rest
Louisiana travels 1,558 miles to face USC, arriving with a +2h body-clock shift.
#4 Memphis
1,513 miles · +1h body-clock shift · equal rest
Memphis travels 1,513 miles to face Boise State, arriving with a +1h body-clock shift.
1,511 miles · +2h body-clock shift · equal rest
Mercyhurst travels 1,511 miles to face New Mexico, arriving with a +2h body-clock shift.

Strongest Home-Field Advantages This Week

Home teams ranked by stadium HFA rating. Higher values reflect stronger historical home performance at that venue. Venues above 4,000 ft are flagged for altitude disadvantage.

HFA 3.2 pts · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · 60,800 capacity
Louisville carries a 3.2-point HFA edge at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium (60,800 capacity) against Villanova.
HFA 3.2 pts · Reser Stadium · 35,548 capacity
Oregon State carries a 3.2-point HFA edge at Reser Stadium (35,548 capacity) against Texas Tech.
#3 SMU
HFA 3.2 pts · Gerald J. Ford Stadium · 32,000 capacity
SMU carries a 3.2-point HFA edge at Gerald J. Ford Stadium (32,000 capacity) against UC Davis.

Biggest Power-Rating Gaps This Week

Games ranked by the difference between Blue Chip model ratings and the market spread. Larger gaps are the strongest signals.

Model gap: 57.3 pts · Line: line unavailable · Home power: 27.7 · Away: -29.6
The model shows Indiana by 57.3 model points; market line is line unavailable. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.
Model gap: 51.5 pts · Line: line unavailable · Home power: 20.3 · Away: -31.2
The model shows Miami by 51.5 model points; market line is line unavailable. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.
Model gap: 48.2 pts · Line: line unavailable · Home power: 19.5 · Away: -28.7
The model shows Ole Miss by 48.2 model points; market line is line unavailable. Gap between model edge and spread is a directional signal.

Biggest Model vs. Market Divergences This Week

Games where Blue Chip's power-rating implied win probability diverges most from the Kalshi prediction market. A large gap suggests the market may be mispricing the matchup — directional signal only, not a betting recommendation.

Model: 33% home · Market: 52% home · Gap: 20pp · Line: line unavailable
Model gives Texas a 33% win probability; Kalshi market has them at 52%. A 20-point gap — model favours Ohio State relative to the market. Directional signal only.
Model: 44% home · Market: 58% home · Gap: 13pp · Line: line unavailable
Model gives Michigan a 44% win probability; Kalshi market has them at 58%. A 13-point gap — model favours Oklahoma relative to the market. Directional signal only.
Model: 38% home · Market: 32% home · Gap: 7pp · Line: line unavailable
Model gives Kansas a 38% win probability; Kalshi market has them at 32%. A 7-point gap — model favours Kansas relative to the market. Directional signal only.

All Week 2 Games

Matchup Line O/U Prediction/Outcome
Florida A&M @ Miami N/A N/A Florida A&M -1 @ 51 Miami PR Diff
Villanova @ Louisville N/A N/A Villanova 11 @ 39 Louisville PR Diff
Rutgers @ Boston College N/A N/A Rutgers 28 @ 22 Boston College PR Diff
South Alabama vs Tulane N/A N/A South Alabama 20 vs 30 Tulane PR Diff
Tulsa @ Sam Houston N/A N/A Tulsa 35 @ 15 Sam Houston PR Diff
Illinois State @ Northern Illinois N/A N/A Illinois State 23 @ 27 Northern Illinois PR Diff
Grambling @ TCU N/A N/A Grambling 10 @ 40 TCU PR Diff
Texas Southern @ UTEP N/A N/A Texas Southern 20 @ 30 UTEP PR Diff
App State @ East Carolina N/A N/A App State 17 @ 33 East Carolina PR Diff
Utah State vs Washington N/A N/A Utah State 13 vs 37 Washington PR Diff
Norfolk State @ Virginia N/A N/A Norfolk State 7 @ 43 Virginia PR Diff
Southern @ Houston N/A N/A Southern 3 @ 47 Houston PR Diff
Prairie View A&M @ Baylor N/A N/A Prairie View A&M 5 @ 45 Baylor PR Diff
Howard @ Indiana N/A N/A Howard -4 @ 54 Indiana PR Diff
Sacred Heart @ Massachusetts N/A N/A Sacred Heart 40 @ 10 Massachusetts PR Diff
Mississippi State @ Minnesota N/A N/A Mississippi State 25 @ 25 Minnesota PR Diff
Monmouth @ Western Michigan N/A N/A Monmouth 22 @ 28 Western Michigan PR Diff
App State @ East Carolina N/A N/A App State 17 @ 33 East Carolina PR Diff
Louisiana Tech @ LSU N/A N/A Louisiana Tech 14 @ 36 LSU PR Diff
UCF @ Pittsburgh N/A N/A UCF 23 @ 27 Pittsburgh PR Diff
South Alabama vs Tulane N/A N/A South Alabama 20 vs 30 Tulane PR Diff
Southern Miss @ Auburn N/A N/A Southern Miss 9 @ 41 Auburn PR Diff
Western Illinois @ Wisconsin N/A N/A Western Illinois 9 @ 41 Wisconsin PR Diff
UT Martin vs West Virginia N/A N/A UT Martin 12 vs 38 West Virginia PR Diff
Louisiana @ USC N/A N/A Louisiana 11 @ 39 USC PR Diff
Weber State @ Colorado N/A N/A Weber State 13 @ 37 Colorado PR Diff
Campbell @ Florida N/A N/A Campbell 5 @ 45 Florida PR Diff
Tennessee @ Georgia Tech N/A N/A Tennessee 29 @ 21 Georgia Tech PR Diff
Southern Utah vs Colorado State N/A N/A Southern Utah 32 vs 18 Colorado State PR Diff
Western Kentucky @ Georgia N/A N/A Western Kentucky 12 @ 38 Georgia PR Diff
Memphis @ Boise State N/A N/A Memphis 24 @ 26 Boise State PR Diff
UL Monroe @ UAB N/A N/A UL Monroe 23 @ 27 UAB PR Diff
Holy Cross @ Miami (OH) N/A N/A Holy Cross 18 @ 32 Miami (OH) PR Diff
Penn State @ Temple N/A N/A Penn State 37 @ 13 Temple PR Diff
Oregon @ Oklahoma State N/A N/A Oregon 37 @ 13 Oklahoma State PR Diff
Ohio State @ Texas N/A N/A Ohio State 28 @ 22 Texas PR Diff
Maryland @ UConn N/A N/A Maryland 29 @ 21 UConn PR Diff
Alabama @ Kentucky N/A N/A Alabama 32 @ 18 Kentucky PR Diff
Colgate @ Central Michigan N/A N/A Colgate 15 @ 35 Central Michigan PR Diff
Bowling Green @ Nebraska N/A N/A Bowling Green 15 @ 35 Nebraska PR Diff
Arizona @ BYU N/A N/A Arizona 22 @ 28 BYU PR Diff
Arizona State @ Texas A&M N/A N/A Arizona State 18 @ 32 Texas A&M PR Diff
Texas Tech @ Oregon State N/A N/A Texas Tech 45 @ 5 Oregon State PR Diff
Montana State @ Nevada N/A N/A Montana State 26 @ 24 Nevada PR Diff
Wake Forest @ Purdue N/A N/A Wake Forest 30 @ 20 Purdue PR Diff
Robert Morris @ Akron N/A N/A Robert Morris 18 @ 32 Akron PR Diff
Richmond @ NC State N/A N/A Richmond 14 @ 36 NC State PR Diff
Buffalo @ Florida International N/A N/A Buffalo 26 @ 24 Florida International PR Diff
Iowa State @ Iowa N/A N/A Iowa State 16 @ 34 Iowa PR Diff
Duke @ Illinois N/A N/A Duke 25 @ 25 Illinois PR Diff
Northern Colorado vs Wyoming N/A N/A Northern Colorado 8 vs 42 Wyoming PR Diff
Mercyhurst vs New Mexico N/A N/A Mercyhurst 25 vs 25 New Mexico PR Diff
North Dakota State @ Air Force N/A N/A North Dakota State 24 @ 26 Air Force PR Diff
Arkansas @ Utah N/A N/A Arkansas 16 @ 34 Utah PR Diff
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State N/A N/A Eastern Michigan 16 @ 34 Michigan State PR Diff
California @ Syracuse N/A N/A California 31 @ 19 Syracuse PR Diff
South Florida @ Army N/A N/A South Florida 29 @ 21 Army PR Diff
Wofford @ Kent State N/A N/A Wofford 23 @ 27 Kent State PR Diff
Navy @ Florida Atlantic N/A N/A Navy 32 @ 18 Florida Atlantic PR Diff
Stony Brook vs Ball State N/A N/A Stony Brook 20 vs 30 Ball State PR Diff
Oklahoma @ Michigan N/A N/A Oklahoma 26 @ 24 Michigan PR Diff
Central Connecticut @ Toledo N/A N/A Central Connecticut 9 @ 41 Toledo PR Diff
Delaware @ Vanderbilt N/A N/A Delaware 11 @ 39 Vanderbilt PR Diff
Rice @ Notre Dame N/A N/A Rice 3 @ 47 Notre Dame PR Diff
Charlotte @ Ole Miss N/A N/A Charlotte 1 @ 49 Ole Miss PR Diff
Towson vs South Carolina N/A N/A Towson 11 vs 39 South Carolina PR Diff
Western Carolina @ Cincinnati N/A N/A Western Carolina 12 @ 38 Cincinnati PR Diff
UC Davis @ SMU N/A N/A UC Davis 11 @ 39 SMU PR Diff
Cal Poly @ San José State N/A N/A Cal Poly 18 @ 32 San José State PR Diff
Sacramento State @ Fresno State N/A N/A Sacramento State 16 @ 34 Fresno State PR Diff
UNLV @ North Texas N/A N/A UNLV 26 @ 24 North Texas PR Diff
Missouri @ Kansas N/A N/A Missouri 27 @ 23 Kansas PR Diff
East Tennessee State @ North Carolina N/A N/A East Tennessee State 13 @ 37 North Carolina PR Diff
Georgia Southern @ Clemson N/A N/A Georgia Southern 12 @ 38 Clemson PR Diff
Washington State @ Kansas State N/A N/A Washington State 18 @ 32 Kansas State PR Diff
San Diego State @ UCLA N/A N/A San Diego State 25 @ 25 UCLA PR Diff
New Mexico State vs Hawai'i N/A N/A New Mexico State 19 vs 31 Hawai'i PR Diff
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech N/A N/A Old Dominion 23 @ 27 Virginia Tech PR Diff
Jacksonville State @ Ohio N/A N/A Jacksonville State 22 @ 28 Ohio PR Diff
UTSA @ Texas State N/A N/A UTSA 28 @ 22 Texas State PR Diff

How We Ranked Week 2's Games

Each ranked section draws from the same enriched data file that powers our per-game pages. Travel distances are calculated as straight-line (great-circle) distances from each team's home market to the game stadium, converted from kilometres to miles. Body-clock offset is the signed time-zone difference the away team crosses. Rest-day differential is the difference in days since each team last played. Weather scoring compounds wind, temperature, and precipitation against fixed thresholds — dome stadiums are excluded as weather is irrelevant indoors — see our Weather tool for the full methodology.

HFA ratings come from our Home Field Advantage tool, which estimates the per-venue point value based on historical margin-of-victory data. Stadiums above 4,000 ft are flagged; altitude creates a documented visiting-team disadvantage. Power ratings are from the Blue Chip power-rating model. The gap between the model's implied spread and the market line is a directional signal; it is not a betting recommendation.

The model vs. market divergence section compares Blue Chip's power-rating implied win probability (derived via a logistic approximation from the rating gap) against the Kalshi prediction market probability. ATS records are sourced from the season log updated weekly by the enrichment pipeline; minimum 3 games required before a team is flagged.

Sources

Weather Data

Home Field Advantage

Frequently Asked Questions

How many games are in college football Week 2 2026?

Week 2 of the 2026 FBS season features 80 games tracked by Blue Chip Analytics. The full schedule, lines, and totals are listed in the game table on this page.

How does Blue Chip Analytics rank travel disadvantages?

Away teams are ranked by the straight-line distance from their home market to the game stadium, converted to miles. Body-clock offset (time-zone hours crossed) is listed alongside distance as a compound fatigue indicator.

What weather conditions qualify as high-risk for this week?

Games are flagged when forecast conditions meet at least one of: wind speed ≥ 20 mph, temperature ≤ 35°F or ≥ 90°F, or precipitation > 0.1 inches. Scores compound across all factors — a cold and windy game ranks higher than a mildly breezy one.

What is a Home Field Advantage (HFA) rating?

Blue Chip's HFA rating estimates the point value of playing at home at a specific stadium, based on historical margin-of-victory data. A rating of 3.0 means the home team historically performs about 3 points better at that venue than their road performance would predict.

What does the power-rating gap section show?

The power-rating gap ranks games by the difference between Blue Chip's internal model rating for each team and the published market spread. A large gap between model edge and market line is a directional signal — it does not constitute a betting recommendation.

How is the model vs. market divergence calculated?

Blue Chip's power-rating gap is converted to an implied win probability using a logistic approximation (each rating point ≈ 2.8% shift from 50%). This is compared against the Kalshi prediction market win probability. Games with a divergence of 5 percentage points or more are surfaced. Both the model and market can be wrong — treat this as a directional flag, not a pick.

What qualifies as a notable ATS record?

Teams are flagged when they have played at least 3 games this season and their ATS cover rate is ≥65% (hot) or ≤30% (cold). Records are updated each week by the enrichment pipeline and reflect cumulative season-to-date results only — sample sizes are small early in the season.

Week 2 of the 2026 season features 80 FBS games; the ranked sections above surface the travel, weather, HFA, power-gap, model-vs-market, and ATS-record edges most relevant to analysts and informed fans.