Week 5September 28, 2025, 02:15 AM UTC
24
3-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 17.8
@
FINAL
21
2-2
Big 12
Power Rank: -0.9

By · Last updated

BYU defeated Colorado 24–21 in a nail-biter. Colorado covered by 3.5; Game went Under by 3.5.

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:15 PM MDT
Stadium: Folsom Field
Capacity: 50,183
Elevation: 5400 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread BYU -6.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Odds Implied Score BYU 27.5 - 21.0 COLO
Power Rank Implied Line BYU -18.7
Prediction Markets BYU 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)
BYU @ Colorado Preview

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Colorado -18.7
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
Colorado perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
BYU
Colorado
Home field: Folsom Field
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Colorado?

At kick-off, conditions at Folsom Field were Clear, 58.5°F, Feels Like 58.5°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 28, 2025
Clear

Clear

58.5°F

Feels Like: 58.5°F
Wind: 5.8 mph WSW
Gusts: 12.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 64%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

BYU (Away)

This Week: 338.6 miles
Last Week: 3777.1 miles
Season Total: 4115.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:15
Rest Days: 8

Colorado (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1808.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:15
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for BYU vs Colorado?

BYU: Key Factors

Resilient Comeback Ability

BYU overcame a 14-0 first-quarter deficit, showing poise and composure under pressure. This resilience, especially from freshman QB Bear Bachmeier, suggests the team can handle adversity and mount comebacks, which is valuable for future games.

Freshman QB Emergence

Bear Bachmeier threw 2 TD passes and rushed for 98 yards, demonstrating dual-threat capability. His calm leadership and ability to avoid being rattled bode well for BYU's offensive consistency moving forward.

Defensive Clutch Plays

Linebacker Isaiah Glasker's game-sealing interception and the defense's ability to hold Colorado to 21 points after an early 14-point outburst highlight a defense that can tighten up in critical moments.

Scoring Streak Continues

BYU has now scored in a program-record 27 straight quarters, indicating sustained offensive production. This streak suggests reliability in putting points on the board, which is crucial for covering spreads or winning close games.

Ranked Team Success

The Cougars improved to 30-9 under Kalani Sitake when ranked, showing they perform well with a target on their back. This trend supports confidence in their ability to handle pressure in upcoming games.

Colorado: Key Factors

Slow Start and Penalties Hurt

Colorado jumped to a 14-0 lead but allowed BYU to rally, and six penalties for 67 yards, including two defensive pass interference calls, disrupted momentum and extended drives.

Offensive Struggles in Second Half

After scoring 14 points in the first quarter, the Buffaloes managed only 7 points the rest of the game, with Kaidon Salter throwing a costly interception late.

Clock Management Issues

On the final drive, Colorado had the ball at their own 4-yard line with 1:49 left and two timeouts but struggled with clock management, leading to a game-ending interception.

Injury-Impacted Running Game

Wide receiver Dre’lon Miller was moved to running back due to injuries and scored a rushing TD, but the offense lacked consistency on the ground.

Trend: Low Scoring Losses

Colorado is now 1-7 over the last two seasons when failing to score 30 points, highlighting a need for offensive improvement ahead of a matchup at No. 24 TCU.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 339 miles to this game, a short road trip.

BYU won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Colorado covered the spread.

The total went Under by 3.5 points.

How do BYU and Colorado compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour BYU (17.8) over Colorado (-0.9) by 18.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

BYU won and Colorado covered the spread.