26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 @ @
Week 5 •
Folsom Field

BYU24 @FINAL 21Colorado

3-0 Big 12 Power rating: 17.8
2-2 Big 12 Power rating: -0.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BYU -6.5
PM Implied
BYU -5.2
Blue Chip model
BYU -15.8
Edge
-9.3BYU
See details
◂ favors BYUfavors COLO ▸Market: BYU -6.5
‹ 18.7 BYU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
COLO
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 BYU5 COLO10 BYU10 COLOModel: BYU -15.8

Betting information

Spread
BYU -6.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
BYU 27.5 – 21.0 COLO
Prediction markets
BYU 69% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

BYU defeated Colorado 24–21 in a nail-biter. Colorado covered by 3.5; Game went Under by 3.5. The market closed at BYU -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it BYU -15.8 - a gap of 9.3 points toward BYU, of which 8.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for BYU vs Colorado?

BYU

Resilient Comeback Ability

BYU overcame a 14-0 first-quarter deficit, showing poise and composure under pressure. This resilience, especially from freshman QB Bear Bachmeier, suggests the team can handle adversity and mount comebacks, which is valuable for future games.

Freshman QB Emergence

Bear Bachmeier threw 2 TD passes and rushed for 98 yards, demonstrating dual-threat capability. His calm leadership and ability to avoid being rattled bode well for BYU's offensive consistency moving forward.

Defensive Clutch Plays

Linebacker Isaiah Glasker's game-sealing interception and the defense's ability to hold Colorado to 21 points after an early 14-point outburst highlight a defense that can tighten up in critical moments.

Scoring Streak Continues

BYU has now scored in a program-record 27 straight quarters, indicating sustained offensive production. This streak suggests reliability in putting points on the board, which is crucial for covering spreads or winning close games.

Ranked Team Success

The Cougars improved to 30-9 under Kalani Sitake when ranked, showing they perform well with a target on their back. This trend supports confidence in their ability to handle pressure in upcoming games.

Colorado

Slow Start and Penalties Hurt

Colorado jumped to a 14-0 lead but allowed BYU to rally, and six penalties for 67 yards, including two defensive pass interference calls, disrupted momentum and extended drives.

Offensive Struggles in Second Half

After scoring 14 points in the first quarter, the Buffaloes managed only 7 points the rest of the game, with Kaidon Salter throwing a costly interception late.

Clock Management Issues

On the final drive, Colorado had the ball at their own 4-yard line with 1:49 left and two timeouts but struggled with clock management, leading to a game-ending interception.

Injury-Impacted Running Game

Wide receiver Dre’lon Miller was moved to running back due to injuries and scored a rushing TD, but the offense lacked consistency on the ground.

Trend: Low Scoring Losses

Colorado is now 1-7 over the last two seasons when failing to score 30 points, highlighting a need for offensive improvement ahead of a matchup at No. 24 TCU.

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Colorado?

At kickoff, conditions at Folsom Field were Clear, 59°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 339 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

BYU won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Colorado covered the spread.

The total went Under by 3.5 points.

How do BYU and Colorado compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor BYU (17.8) over Colorado (-0.9) by 18.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on BYU and Colorado?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

BYU won and Colorado covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 28, 2025 Game-time

Clear

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity64%
Wind6 mph WSW
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for BYU at Colorado: aerial view of Folsom Field, wind from the WSW at 5.8 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
08:15 PM MDT
Venue
Folsom Field
Capacity
50,183
Elevation
5,400 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

BYUAway ColoradoHome
This week339 miles0 miles
Last week3,777 milesHome game
Season total4,116 miles1,809 miles
Body clock20:1520:15
Rest8 days7 days

Other games this week