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Week 5 •
S.B. Ballard Stadium

Liberty7 @FINAL 21Old Dominion

1-3 CUSA Power rating: -8.8
2-1 Sun Belt Power rating: 0.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ODU -14.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ODU -12.2
Edge
-2.3LIB
See details
◂ favors LIBfavors ODU ▸Market: ODU -14.5
9.2 › ODU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ODU
ODU
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 LIB1 ODU2 LIB2 ODUModel: ODU -12.2

Betting information

Spread
ODU -14.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
LIB 19.5 – 34.0 ODU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Old Dominion defeated Liberty 21–7 in a double-digit victory. Liberty covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 25.5. The market closed at Old Dominion -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Old Dominion -12.2, an edge of 2.3 points toward Liberty.

What are the key factors for Liberty vs Old Dominion?

Old Dominion

Dominant Passing Attack

Colton Joseph threw for 271 yards and 3 touchdowns, connecting with Ja'Cory Thomas (5 catches, 114 yards, 2 TDs) and TJ Johnson. This aerial efficiency will be a key factor in future games.

Stifling Defense in Second Half

Old Dominion held Liberty to just 203 total yards and shut them out in the fourth quarter, forcing a turnover on downs and a fumble. The defense's ability to close out games is a major strength.

High Offensive Output

The Monarchs racked up 489 yards of offense, showcasing a balanced attack that can sustain drives and score quickly. This productivity bodes well for upcoming matchups.

What were the weather conditions for Liberty vs Old Dominion?

At kickoff, conditions at S.B. Ballard Stadium were Fog, 74°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Liberty travels 162 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Old Dominion won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Liberty covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 25.5 points.

How do Liberty and Old Dominion compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Old Dominion (0.4) over Liberty (-8.8) by 9.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Old Dominion brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Liberty and Old Dominion?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Old Dominion won and Liberty covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Fog

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity98%
Wind9 mph SSW
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for Liberty at Old Dominion: aerial view of S.B. Ballard Stadium, wind from the SSW at 9.2 mph, gusting to 16.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity
21,944
Elevation
13 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

LibertyAway Old DominionHome
This week162 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total1,781 miles1,615 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days14 days

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