Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
2-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.1
45 FINAL 27
1-2
Big 12
Power Rank: -15.4
Oklahoma State covered by 2.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

Baylor defeated Oklahoma State 45–27 to secure a comfortable win.

Baylor @ Oklahoma State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity: 52,305
Elevation: 965 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -20.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score BAY 40.0 - 19.5 OKST
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +26.5
Prediction Markets Baylor 91% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.9°F

Wind Chill: 40.8°F
Wind: 7.6 mph ENE
Gusts: 15.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 66%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 314.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 495.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Oklahoma State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2949.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Baylor -20.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Baylor 11.1
Oklahoma State -15.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 315 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Oklahoma State +1
HFA: Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity 52,305
Elevation 965 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 44.9°F
Wind Speed 7.6 mph
Your Line Oklahoma State -26.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Baylor vs Oklahoma State?

Baylor: Key Factors

Oklahoma State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Baylor travels 315 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Baylor won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Oklahoma State covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

How do Baylor and Oklahoma State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (11.1) over Oklahoma State (-15.4) by 26.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Baylor won and Oklahoma State covered the spread.