Week 5September 27, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
45
2-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.1
@
FINAL
27
1-2
Big 12
Power Rank: -15.4

By · Last updated

Baylor defeated Oklahoma State 45–27 to secure a comfortable win. Oklahoma State covered by 3.0; Game went Over by 13.5.

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity: 52,305
Elevation: 965 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -21.0
Total (O/U) 58.5
Odds Implied Score BAY 39.8 - 18.8 OKST
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor -26.5
Prediction Markets Baylor 91% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Baylor @ Oklahoma State Preview

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Baylor
Oklahoma State
Home field: Boone Pickens Stadium
Weather: Sunny
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Baylor vs Oklahoma State?

At kick-off, conditions at Boone Pickens Stadium were Sunny, 77.9°F, Feels Like 78.8°F with winds of 5.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 27, 2025
Sunny

Sunny

77.9°F

Feels Like: 78.8°F
Wind: 5.6 mph SSE
Gusts: 11.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 51%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 314.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 495.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Oklahoma State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2949.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for Baylor vs Oklahoma State?

Oklahoma State: Key Factors

Offensive Improvement Under Interim Coach

The Cowboys showed significant offensive improvement, posting a season-high 448 yards and scoring 27 points, a stark contrast to their previous losses where they managed only 3 and 12 points. This suggests the team is adapting to interim coach Doug Meacham's more aggressive approach.

Creative Play-Calling with Non-Quarterback Passes

Oklahoma State utilized trick plays, including a double pass from receiver Sam Jackson V for a touchdown and a completion from running back Trent Howland. This creativity kept Baylor's defense off balance and indicates Meacham will continue to use Jackson as a passing threat, which could be a key factor in future games.

Career Performances from Key Players

Quarterback Zane Flores threw for a career-high 232 yards, and running back Trent Howland rushed for career highs of 84 yards and two touchdowns. These individual breakthroughs provide a foundation for the offense moving forward, especially as they face Arizona next week.

Defensive Struggles Remain a Concern

Despite the offensive improvement, the defense allowed 612 total yards and 45 points to Baylor, including four touchdown passes. This leaky defense could be exploited by Arizona, which may have a potent offense, making it a critical area to address in practice.

Team Morale and Culture Shine Through

Interim coach Meacham praised the team's fight and unity, noting they had fun and played hard despite the loss. This positive morale, built under former coach Mike Gundy, could help the Cowboys stay competitive and potentially pull off an upset against Arizona if they continue to improve.

What happened in the game?

Baylor travels 315 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Baylor won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Oklahoma State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 13.5 points.

How do Baylor and Oklahoma State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (11.1) over Oklahoma State (-15.4) by 26.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Baylor won and Oklahoma State covered the spread.