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Week 5 •
Kyle Field

Auburn10 @FINAL 16Texas A&M

3-1 SEC Power rating: 11.1
3-0 SEC Power rating: 21.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TA&M -6.5
PM Implied
TA&M -5.1
Blue Chip model
TA&M -14.5
Edge
+8.0TA&M
See details
◂ favors AUBfavors TA&M ▸Market: TA&M -6.5
10.5 › TA&M
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TA&M
TA&M
no impact
no impact
TA&M
5 AUB5 TA&MModel: TA&M -14.5

Betting information

Spread
TA&M -6.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
AUB 22.5 – 29.0 TA&M
Prediction markets
TA&M 70% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas A&M defeated Auburn 16–10 in a closely contested finish. Auburn covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 25.5. The market closed at Texas A&M -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas A&M -14.5 - a gap of 8.0 points toward Texas A&M, of which 6.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Auburn vs Texas A&M?

At kickoff, conditions at Kyle Field were Sunny, 82°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Auburn travels 654 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas A&M won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Auburn covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 25.5 points.

How do Auburn and Texas A&M compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas A&M (21.6) over Auburn (11.1) by 10.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas A&M brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Auburn and Texas A&M?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas A&M won and Auburn covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

82°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity39%
Wind7 mph ESE
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for Auburn at Texas A&M: aerial view of Kyle Field, wind from the ESE at 6.9 mph, gusting to 14.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Kyle Field
Capacity
102,733
Elevation
367 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

AuburnAway Texas A&MHome
This week654 miles0 miles
Last week1,419 milesBye week
Season total3,444 miles1,898 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days14 days

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