UL Monroe defeated Arkansas State 28–16 in a double-digit victory. UL Monroe covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 11.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Arkansas State 6.2 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Malone Stadium were Clear, 77.7°F, Feels Like 79.9°F with winds of 5.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
77.7°F
Arkansas State travels 242 miles to this game, a short road trip.
UL Monroe won by 12 in a double-digit victory.
UL Monroe covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 11.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-10.6) over UL Monroe (-16.8) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UL Monroe faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UL Monroe brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
UL Monroe won and UL Monroe covered the spread.
