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Week 14 •
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

UCLA10 @FINAL 29USC

3-8 Big Ten Power rating: 7.7
8-3 Big Ten Power rating: 23.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USC -21.5
PM Implied
USC -16.0
Blue Chip model
USC -18.9
Edge
-2.6UCLA
See details
◂ favors UCLAfavors USC ▸Market: USC -21.5
15.8 › USC
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USC
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UCLA1 USC2 UCLA2 USC3 UCLA3 USCModel: USC -18.9

Betting information

Spread
USC -21.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
UCLA 18.5 – 40.0 USC
Prediction markets
USC 94% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

USC defeated UCLA 29–10 to secure a comfortable win. UCLA covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 19.5. The market closed at USC -21.5 and the Blue Chip model made it USC -18.9, an edge of 2.6 points toward UCLA.

What are the key factors for UCLA vs USC?

USC

Slow start overcome by depth and discipline

USC benched top receivers Makai Lemon and Ja'Kobi Lane for the first two series due to a team policy violation, leading to a sluggish first half and a 10-7 halftime deficit. However, the team rallied in the second half, showing resilience and depth that bodes well for bowl preparation.

King Miller emerges as a reliable rushing threat

Walk-on redshirt freshman King Miller rushed for 124 yards and two touchdowns, including a game-sealing 41-yard run. His performance provides a new dimension to the offense, which could be crucial in a bowl game against a strong defense.

Defense tightens in second half

After allowing 10 first-half points, USC's defense shut out UCLA in the second half, limiting the Bruins to just 200 passing yards overall. This defensive improvement, especially in the red zone, will be key against a bowl opponent.

Quarterback Jayden Maiava shows poise under pressure

Maiava passed for 257 yards and two touchdowns, including a go-ahead 32-yard strike to Lemon. His ability to perform without his top receivers early and lead a comeback demonstrates growth and reliability heading into the postseason.

Unbeaten home season builds momentum

USC finished 9-3 overall and 7-2 in the Big Ten, completing an undefeated home schedule. This success, combined with a strong finish, provides positive momentum and a foundation for a strong bowl performance and future recruiting.

What were the weather conditions for UCLA vs USC?

At kickoff, conditions at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum were Mist, 55°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UCLA travels 12 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

USC won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

UCLA covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 19.5 points.

How do UCLA and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor USC (23.5) over UCLA (7.7) by 15.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UCLA and USC?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

USC won and UCLA covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Mist

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity97%
Wind1 mph SSE
Gusts2 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UCLA at USC: aerial view of Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, wind from the SSE at 1.3 mph, gusting to 2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM PST
Venue
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity
77,500
Elevation
177 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

UCLAAway USCHome
This week12 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,477 miles
Season total15,234 miles14,620 miles
Body clock16:3016:30
Rest7 days8 days

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