Week 14November 30, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
10
3-8
Big Ten
Power Rank: 7.7
@
FINAL
29
8-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 23.5

By · Last updated

USC defeated UCLA 29–10 to secure a comfortable win. UCLA covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 19.5.

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM PST
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity: 77,500
Elevation: 177 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread USC -21.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Odds Implied Score UCLA 18.5 - 40.0 USC
Power Rank Implied Line USC -15.8
Prediction Markets USC 94% Win Chance (Kalshi)
UCLA @ USC Preview

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UCLA
USC
Home field: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Weather: Mist
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for UCLA vs USC?

At kick-off, conditions at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum were Mist, 55.2°F, Feels Like 55.6°F with winds of 1.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 30, 2025
Mist

Mist

55.2°F

Feels Like: 55.6°F
Wind: 1.3 mph SSE
Gusts: 2.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UCLA (Away)

This Week: 12.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 15233.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 7

USC (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1477.5 miles
Season Total: 14620.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for UCLA vs USC?

USC: Key Factors

Slow start overcome by depth and discipline

USC benched top receivers Makai Lemon and Ja'Kobi Lane for the first two series due to a team policy violation, leading to a sluggish first half and a 10-7 halftime deficit. However, the team rallied in the second half, showing resilience and depth that bodes well for bowl preparation.

King Miller emerges as a reliable rushing threat

Walk-on redshirt freshman King Miller rushed for 124 yards and two touchdowns, including a game-sealing 41-yard run. His performance provides a new dimension to the offense, which could be crucial in a bowl game against a strong defense.

Defense tightens in second half

After allowing 10 first-half points, USC's defense shut out UCLA in the second half, limiting the Bruins to just 200 passing yards overall. This defensive improvement, especially in the red zone, will be key against a bowl opponent.

Quarterback Jayden Maiava shows poise under pressure

Maiava passed for 257 yards and two touchdowns, including a go-ahead 32-yard strike to Lemon. His ability to perform without his top receivers early and lead a comeback demonstrates growth and reliability heading into the postseason.

Unbeaten home season builds momentum

USC finished 9-3 overall and 7-2 in the Big Ten, completing an undefeated home schedule. This success, combined with a strong finish, provides positive momentum and a foundation for a strong bowl performance and future recruiting.

What happened in the game?

UCLA travels 12 miles to this game, a short road trip.

USC won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

UCLA covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 19.5 points.

How do UCLA and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (23.5) over UCLA (7.7) by 15.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and UCLA covered the spread.