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Week 14 •
Raymond James Stadium

Rice3 @FINAL 52South Florida

5-6 American Power rating: -12.5
8-3 American Power rating: 12.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USF -28.5
PM Implied
USF -20.7
Blue Chip model
USF -27.9
Edge
-0.6RICE
See details
◂ favors RICEfavors USF ▸Market: USF -28.5
25.1 › USF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USF
no impact
no impact
no impact
RICE
1 RICE1 USF2 RICE2 USF3 RICE3 USFModel: USF -27.9

Betting information

Spread
USF -28.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
RICE 14.5 – 43.0 USF
Prediction markets
USF 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Florida defeated Rice 52–3 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered by 20.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at South Florida -28.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -27.9. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Rice vs South Florida?

At kickoff, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Partly cloudy, 67°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Rice travels 791 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Rice arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

South Florida won by 49 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Rice and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (12.6) over Rice (-12.5) by 25.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Rice and South Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

67°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity81%
Wind12 mph E
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Rice at South Florida: aerial view of Raymond James Stadium, wind from the E at 12.1 mph, gusting to 19.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Capacity
69,218
Elevation
72 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

RiceAway South FloridaHome
This week791 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game920 miles
Season total5,952 miles6,421 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days8 days

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