Michigan State defeated Maryland 38–28 in a double-digit victory. Michigan State covered by 6.0; Game went Over by 16.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
This game was played indoors at Ford Field in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.
~72°F
Maryland travels 395 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Michigan State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.
Michigan State covered the spread.
The total went Over by 16.5 points.
At 30.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan State (6.4) over Maryland (4.7) by 1.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Michigan State won and Michigan State covered the spread.
