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Week 14 •
Ford FieldNeutral siteIndoor

Maryland28 @FINAL 38Michigan State

4-7 Big Ten Power rating: 4.7
3-8 Big Ten Power rating: 6.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MSU -4.0
PM Implied
MSU -3.6
Blue Chip model
MSU -1.7
Edge
-2.3MD
See details
◂ favors MDfavors MSU ▸Market: MSU -4.0
MSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 MD1 MSU2 MD2 MSUModel: MSU -1.7

Betting information

Spread
MSU -4.0
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
MD 22.8 – 26.8 MSU
Prediction markets
MSU 64% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Michigan State defeated Maryland 38–28 in a double-digit victory. Michigan State covered by 6.0; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Michigan State -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Michigan State -1.7, an edge of 2.3 points toward Maryland.

What were the weather conditions for Maryland vs Michigan State?

This game was played indoors at Ford Field in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Maryland travels 395 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Michigan State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Michigan State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Maryland and Michigan State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Michigan State (6.4) over Maryland (4.7) by 1.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Maryland and Michigan State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Michigan State won and Michigan State covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Ford Field is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Maryland at Michigan State: aerial view of Ford Field

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Ford Field
Capacity
65,000
Elevation
610 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MarylandAway Michigan StateHome
This week395 miles78 miles
Last weekHome game740 miles
Season total7,958 miles7,400 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest8 days8 days

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