Week 14
Michigan Stadium

Ohio State27 @FINAL 9Michigan , Week 14, Nov 29, 2025

11-0 Big Ten Power rating: 32.3
9-2 Big Ten Power rating: 19.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
OSU -9.5
PM Implied
OSU -7.7
Blue Chip model
OSU -10.8
Edge
-1.3OSU
See details
◂ favors OSUfavors MICH ▸Market: OSU -9.5
‹ 13.2 OSU
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1 OSU1 MICH2 OSU2 MICHModel: OSU -10.8

Betting information

Spread
OSU -9.5
Total
42.5
Odds implied score
OSU 26.0 – 16.5 MICH
Prediction markets
OSU 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ohio State defeated Michigan 27–9 to secure a comfortable win. Ohio State covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 6.5. The market closed at Ohio State -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio State -10.8, an edge of 1.3 points toward Ohio State.

What are the key factors for Ohio State vs Michigan?

Ohio State

Dominant Rivalry Win

Ohio State ended a four-game losing streak to Michigan with a convincing 27-9 victory, showcasing a balanced offense and stifling defense. This win likely secures a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff and sets up a Big Ten Championship game against No. 2 Indiana.

Quarterback Julian Sayin Shines

Redshirt freshman Julian Sayin threw three touchdown passes, including a clutch 35-yarder to Jeremiah Smith on fourth down and a 50-yard bomb to Carnell Tate. He finished 19 of 26 for 233 yards, demonstrating poise under pressure and effective use of third and fourth downs.

Bo Jackson Powers Ground Game

Freshman running back Bo Jackson rushed for a season-high 117 yards, providing a strong complement to the passing attack. The offensive line's dominance created running lanes and gave Sayin time to throw, leading to a balanced offense that controlled the game.

Defense Shuts Down Michigan

Ohio State's top-ranked defense held Michigan to just nine points (three field goals) and 63 passing yards, with an interception late in the game. They limited the Wolverines to 100 rushing yards on 24 carries and did not allow a touchdown for the fifth time this season.

Next Up: Big Ten Championship vs. Indiana

The Buckeyes will face No. 2 Indiana (12-0) in the Big Ten Championship game, with a win likely securing the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff. Ohio State previously beat Indiana 38-15 last season, but the Hoosiers are undefeated and present a significant challenge.

What were the weather conditions for Ohio State vs Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Michigan Stadium were Moderate snow, 28°F, wind chill 19°F with winds of 9 mph. At 28°F this is a freezing game. Cold is a scoring-environment factor rather than a side factor: Blue Chip has not measured a reliable spread effect from temperature. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ohio State travels 161 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Ohio State won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Ohio State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Ohio State and Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio State (32.3) over Michigan (19.1) by 13.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Michigan brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio State won and Ohio State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Moderate snow

28°F

Rain0%
Precip0.10"
Humidity92%
Wind9 mph SSE
Gusts12 mph
Wind chill19°F
Snow chance100%
Wind map for Ohio State at Michigan: aerial view of Michigan Stadium, wind from the SSE at 9.2 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Capacity
107,601
Elevation
863 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Ohio StateAway MichiganHome
This week161 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game846 miles
Season total5,936 miles8,374 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days