Week 14November 29, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
31
7-4
SEC
Power Rank: 19.1
@
FINAL
17
2-9
SEC
Power Rank: 12.4

By · Last updated

Missouri defeated Arkansas 31–17 in a double-digit victory. Missouri covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 6.5.

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Razorback Stadium
Capacity: 76,212
Elevation: 1358 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Missouri -4.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Odds Implied Score MIZ 29.5 - 25.0 ARK
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri -6.7
Prediction Markets Missouri 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Missouri @ Arkansas Preview

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Missouri
Arkansas
Home field: Razorback Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Missouri vs Arkansas?

At kick-off, conditions at Razorback Stadium were Overcast, 34.9°F, Wind Chill 25.0°F with winds of 15.9 mph. Wind of 15.9 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 22.8 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. At 34.9°F, cold conditions may be a minor factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 29, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

34.9°F

Wind Chill: 25.0°F
Wind: 15.9 mph NW
Gusts: 22.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.33"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Missouri (Away)

This Week: 222.3 miles
Last Week: 763.7 miles
Season Total: 2867.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Arkansas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 897.1 miles
Season Total: 3965.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Missouri vs Arkansas?

Missouri: Key Factors

Dominant rushing attack

Missouri ran for 322 yards, their second-highest total of the season and most in an SEC game, with Ahmad Hardy (149 yards, TD) and Jamal Roberts (100 yards, TD) leading the way.

Defensive resilience

The Tigers held Arkansas to 246 total yards, well below their season average of 474, and forced a key fumble return for a touchdown by Bradley Shaw.

Special teams impact

Kevin Coleman Jr. returned a punt 67 yards for a touchdown in the fourth quarter, providing a two-score cushion and highlighting Missouri's special teams prowess.

Quarterback efficiency

Beau Pribula threw for only 25 yards but contributed 78 rushing yards and a touchdown, showing the team's ability to win with a run-heavy game plan.

Program stability

Coach Eli Drinkwitz signed an extension earlier in the week and has led Missouri to three straight winning seasons for the first time since 2009-11, solidifying the team's second-tier SEC status.

What happened in the game?

Missouri travels 222 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Missouri won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Missouri covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Razorback Stadium?

Wind of 15.9 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff.

Gusts reaching 22.8 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.

At 34.9°F, cold conditions may be a minor factor in this game.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Missouri and Arkansas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri (19.1) over Arkansas (12.4) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arkansas faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arkansas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri won and Missouri covered the spread.