Week 14 • November 29, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
6-4
SEC
Power Rank: 19.1
31 FINAL 17
2-9
SEC
Power Rank: 12.4
Missouri covered by 11.5 | Game went Under by 10.5

Missouri defeated Arkansas 31–17 in a double-digit victory.

Missouri @ Arkansas Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Razorback Stadium
Capacity: 76,212
Elevation: 1358 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Missouri -2.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score MIZ 30.5 - 28.0 ARK
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri +6.7
Prediction Markets Missouri 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

33.7°F

Wind Chill: 30.4°F
Wind: 3.6 mph E
Gusts: 7.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 81%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Missouri (Away)

This Week: 222.3 miles
Last Week: 763.7 miles
Season Total: 3311.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Arkansas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 897.1 miles
Season Total: 3965.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Missouri -2.5
Total Points 58.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Missouri 19.1
Arkansas 12.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 222 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Razorback Stadium
Capacity 76,212
Elevation 1358 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 33.7°F
Wind Speed 3.6 mph
Your Line Arkansas -6.7
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Missouri vs Arkansas?

Missouri: Key Factors

Arkansas: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Missouri travels 222 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Missouri won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Missouri covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Razorback Stadium?

At 33.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Missouri and Arkansas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri (19.1) over Arkansas (12.4) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arkansas faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arkansas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri won and Missouri covered the spread.