Houston defeated Baylor 31–24 in a one-score game. Houston covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 1.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Baylor 4.3 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at McLane Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73.6°F, Feels Like 77.2°F with winds of 8.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
73.6°F
Weigman accounted for three touchdowns (two rushing, one passing) with 201 passing yards and 121 rushing yards, showcasing his ability to lead the offense both through the air and on the ground.
Houston finished 6-0 on the road, only the third time in school history, demonstrating exceptional resilience and performance away from home.
After Baylor tied the game, Houston executed a decisive 1-yard touchdown run by Dean Connors with 1:57 left, followed by a defensive stop on fourth down to secure the win.
The Cougars achieved their first nine-win regular season since 2021 and only their second since 2016, marking significant improvement under coach Willie Fritz.
Houston secured a bowl game for the first time in three seasons, with their opponent and location to be determined on December 7, providing motivation for continued success.
Houston travels 165 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Houston won by 7 in a one-score game.
Houston covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 1.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (14.1) over Houston (9.8) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Houston won and Houston covered the spread.
