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Week 14 •
BBVA Compass Stadium

Florida International56 @FINAL 16Sam Houston

6-5 CUSA Power rating: -14.1
2-9 CUSA Power rating: -20.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FIU -10.5
PM Implied
FIU -8.7
Blue Chip model
FIU -2.8
Edge
+7.7SHSU
See details
◂ favors FIUfavors SHSU ▸Market: FIU -10.5
FIU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SHSU
no impact
SHSU
no impact
SHSU
5 FIU5 SHSUModel: FIU -2.8

Betting information

Spread
FIU -10.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
FIU 30.5 – 20.0 SHSU
Prediction markets
FIU 80% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida International defeated Sam Houston 56–16 in a dominant performance. Florida International covered by 29.5; Game went Over by 21.5. The market closed at Florida International -10.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida International -2.8 - a gap of 7.7 points toward Sam Houston, of which 6.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Florida International vs Sam Houston?

At kickoff, conditions at BBVA Compass Stadium were Partly cloudy, 75°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 957 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Florida International arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Florida International won by 40 in a dominant performance.

Florida International covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 21.5 points.

How do Florida International and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida International (-14.1) over Sam Houston (-20.0) by 5.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida International and Sam Houston?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida International won and Florida International covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

75°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind11 mph S
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida International at Sam Houston: aerial view of BBVA Compass Stadium, wind from the S at 10.5 mph, gusting to 15.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM CST
Venue
BBVA Compass Stadium
Capacity
20,656
Elevation
56 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Florida InternationalAway Sam HoustonHome
This week957 miles67 miles
Last weekHome game1,275 miles
Season total10,887 miles15,919 miles
Body clock13:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days

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