Week 14November 29, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
24
4-7
MAC
Power Rank: -17.2
@
FINAL
45
6-5
MAC
Power Rank: -2.3

By · Last updated

Miami (OH) defeated Ball State 45–24 to secure a comfortable win. Miami (OH) covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 28.5.

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Yager Stadium
Capacity: 30,087
Elevation: 797 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Miami (OH) -16.5
Total (O/U) 40.5
Odds Implied Score BALL 12.0 - 28.5 M-OH
Power Rank Implied Line Miami (OH) -14.9
Prediction Markets Miami (OH) 90% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Ball State @ Miami (OH) Preview

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Ball State
Miami (OH)
Home field: Yager Stadium
Weather: Moderate snow
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Ball State vs Miami (OH)?

At kick-off, conditions at Yager Stadium were Moderate snow, 28.4°F, Wind Chill 17.2°F with winds of 11.4 mph. At 28.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 29, 2025
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

28.4°F

Wind Chill: 17.2°F
Wind: 11.4 mph SE
Gusts: 17.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.05"
Humidity: 90%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

Ball State (Away)

This Week: 60.3 miles
Last Week: 274.3 miles
Season Total: 3609.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Miami (OH) (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 784.2 miles
Season Total: 3797.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 9

What happened in the game?

Ball State travels 60 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Miami (OH) won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Miami (OH) covered the spread.

The total went Over by 28.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Yager Stadium?

At 28.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Ball State and Miami (OH) compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (OH) (-2.3) over Ball State (-17.2) by 14.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami (OH) brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Miami (OH) won and Miami (OH) covered the spread.