Miami (OH) defeated Ball State 45–24 to secure a comfortable win. Miami (OH) covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 28.5.

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At kick-off, conditions at Yager Stadium were Moderate snow, 28.4°F, Wind Chill 17.2°F with winds of 11.4 mph. At 28.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
28.4°F
Ball State travels 60 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Miami (OH) won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.
Miami (OH) covered the spread.
The total went Over by 28.5 points.
At 28.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (OH) (-2.3) over Ball State (-17.2) by 14.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami (OH) brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Miami (OH) won and Miami (OH) covered the spread.