Week 14November 28, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
38
10-1
SEC
Power Rank: 25.2
@
FINAL
19
5-6
SEC
Power Rank: 12.3

By · Last updated

Ole Miss defeated Mississippi State 38–19 to secure a comfortable win. Ole Miss covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 5.5.

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity: 60,311
Elevation: 381 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Ole Miss -7.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Odds Implied Score MISS 35.0 - 27.5 MSST
Power Rank Implied Line Ole Miss -12.9
Prediction Markets Ole Miss 74% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State Preview

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Ole Miss
Mississippi State
Home field: Davis Wade Stadium
Weather: Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Ole Miss vs Mississippi State?

At kick-off, conditions at Davis Wade Stadium were Cloudy, 47.1°F, Wind Chill 45.5°F with winds of 4.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 28, 2025
Cloudy

Cloudy

47.1°F

Wind Chill: 45.5°F
Wind: 4.5 mph N
Gusts: 6.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 37%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Ole Miss (Away)

This Week: 75.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2445.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 12

Mississippi State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3755.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 12

What happened in the game?

Ole Miss travels 76 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ole Miss won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Ole Miss covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Ole Miss and Mississippi State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ole Miss (25.2) over Mississippi State (12.3) by 12.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Mississippi State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Mississippi State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ole Miss won and Ole Miss covered the spread.