DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Navy defeated Memphis 28–17 in a double-digit victory. Navy covered by 15.0; Game went Under by 12.5. The market closed at Memphis -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Memphis -10.2 - a gap of 6.2 points toward Memphis, of which 5.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Memphis 7.6 points stronger on a neutral field.
Memphis managed only 3 points in the second half after leading 17-14 at halftime, failing to sustain drives and allowing Navy to take control.
Brendon Lewis completed 19 of 36 passes for 172 yards and two touchdowns, but the passing game lacked consistency and big plays after the first half.
Navy's option attack gained 103 yards from Alex Tecza and 54 from Blake Horvath, exposing Memphis's run defense and allowing two second-half rushing touchdowns.
Memphis held a 17-14 lead at halftime but could not capitalize on key drives, turning the ball over or punting in critical moments.
The loss drops Memphis to 6-4 overall and 4-4 in AAC play, likely eliminating them from conference title contention and hurting their bowl positioning.
At kickoff, conditions at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium were Clear, 41°F, wind chill 37°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
41°F
| Measure | NavyAway | MemphisHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 790 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 6,677 miles | 5,827 miles |
| Body clock | 19:30 | 18:30 |
| Rest | 13 days | 13 days |
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