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Week 14 •
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Bowling Green45 @FINAL 14Massachusetts

3-8 MAC Power rating: -5.9
0-11 MAC Power rating: -23.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BGSU -14.0
PM Implied
BGSU -10.9
Blue Chip model
BGSU -15.9
Edge
-1.9BGSU
See details
◂ favors BGSUfavors MASS ▸Market: BGSU -14.0
‹ 18.0 BGSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MASS
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 BGSU1 MASS2 BGSU2 MASSModel: BGSU -15.9

Betting information

Spread
BGSU -14.0
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
BGSU 29.3 – 15.3 MASS
Prediction markets
BGSU 85% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Bowling Green defeated Massachusetts 45–14 in a dominant performance. Bowling Green covered by 17.0; Game went Over by 14.5. The market closed at Bowling Green -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Bowling Green -15.9, an edge of 1.9 points toward Bowling Green.

What were the weather conditions for Bowling Green vs Massachusetts?

At kickoff, conditions at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium were Light rain, 41°F, wind chill 37°F with winds of 5 mph. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Bowling Green travels 576 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Bowling Green won by 31 in a dominant performance.

Bowling Green covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do Bowling Green and Massachusetts compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Bowling Green (-5.9) over Massachusetts (-23.9) by 18.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Massachusetts faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Massachusetts brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Bowling Green and Massachusetts?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Bowling Green won and Bowling Green covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 25, 2025 Game-time

Light rain

41°F

Rain100%
Precip0.02"
Humidity97%
Wind5 mph S
Gusts9 mph
Wind chill37°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Bowling Green at Massachusetts: aerial view of Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, wind from the S at 5.1 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM EST
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Capacity
17,000
Elevation
157 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Bowling GreenAway MassachusettsHome
This week576 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,087 miles
Season total2,083 miles8,289 miles
Body clock16:3016:30
Rest6 days6 days

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