Week 13
S.B. Ballard Stadium

Southern Miss @ Old Dominion , Week 13, Nov 28, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -15.7
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: 2.0

Is there value in the Southern Miss vs Old Dominion line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ODU -20.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors USMfavors ODU ▸
17.7 › ODU
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1 USM1 ODU2 USM2 ODUModel: ODU -20.2

Old Dominion (power rating: 2.0) holds a 17.7-point advantage over Southern Miss (-15.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Old Dominion's home field adds 2.3 points to that advantage at S.B. Ballard Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Southern Miss vs Old Dominion at S.B. Ballard Stadium?

The latest reading for S.B. Ballard Stadium shows Overcast, 83°F, heat index 87°F with winds of 10 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Southern Miss and Old Dominion compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Old Dominion (2.0) over Southern Miss (-15.7) by 17.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Old Dominion brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Old Dominion -20.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

83°F

Rain16%
Precip0.00"
Humidity65%
Wind10 mph SW
Gusts22 mph
Heat index87°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Southern Miss at Old Dominion: aerial view of S.B. Ballard Stadium, wind from the SW at 9.6 mph, gusting to 22.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity
21,944
Elevation
13 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Southern MissAway Old DominionHome
This week838 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game779 miles
Season total2,725 miles5,332 miles
Body clock23:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Southern Miss travels 838 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Southern Miss arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.