Week 13 • November 28, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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Big 12
Power Rank: 4.4
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Big 12
Power Rank: 17.5

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BYU (power rating: 17.5) holds a 13.1-point edge over Cincinnati (4.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. BYU's home field adds 2.7 points to that edge at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Cincinnati travels 1,443 miles for this game — check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 10:00 PM MST
Stadium: LaVell Edwards Stadium
Capacity: 62,073
Elevation: 4678 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line BYU -13.1

Line Value Calculator

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Cincinnati
BYU
Home field — LaVell Edwards Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Cincinnati vs BYU at LaVell Edwards Stadium?

Game-time forecast at LaVell Edwards Stadium shows Clear — 59.0°F, Feels Like 49.1°F with winds of 4.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Clear

Clear

59.0°F

Feels Like: 49.1°F
Wind: 4.9 mph E
Gusts: 10.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 31%
Rain Chance: 1%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Cincinnati (Away)

This Week: 1442.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7873.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 7

BYU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1757.6 miles
Season Total: 8227.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 22:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Cincinnati vs BYU?

Cincinnati: Key Factors

New quarterback and offensive identity

JC French IV takes over at QB after Brendan Sorsby's departure. The offense will lean heavily on the run game with Zion Johnson, Gi'Bran Payne, and Zylan Perry, using play-action passes. French's comfort in this system is critical, especially against a Boston College defense that will likely test his decision-making early.

Defensive scheme change and turnover potential

First-year DC Nate Woody's pressure-based 3-3-5 scheme aims to force more turnovers after last season's low numbers. Key additions like Josh Hough, Chidera Otutu, and Filip Maciorowski should create chaos, but the unit must gel quickly against a Boston College offense that may try to exploit early miscommunications.

Home-field advantage and weather factors

Cincinnati opens at home with a 2.5-point HFA boost. The forecast calls for partly cloudy skies, 64°F, and 13 mph wind, which could affect passing accuracy and kicking. The Bearcats' strong running game and experienced offensive line may benefit from these conditions, while the defense's pass rush could be aided by the wind.

Rebuilt skill positions and depth concerns

The wide receiver room is almost entirely new, with Isaiah Johnson as the primary deep threat. JV Gibson, Larenzo Fenner, and Cade Wolford must step up. If the running game stalls or French faces pressure, the passing game's lack of chemistry could be a liability against Boston College's secondary.

Special teams stability as a hidden edge

Returning kicker Stephen Rusnak and punter Max Fletcher provide reliability in a game that could be close. Isaiah Johnson's speed on returns adds a big-play threat. In windy conditions, field position and kicking accuracy become even more important, giving Cincinnati a potential advantage.

BYU: Key Factors

High expectations and offensive firepower

BYU enters the season with sky-high expectations after back-to-back 11+ win seasons and a Big 12 Championship Game appearance. The offense returns QB Bear Bachmeier (65% completion, 3,033 yards, 15 TD as a freshman) and RB LJ Martin (1,305 yards, Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year), giving the Cougars a potent, experienced backfield that should dominate an overmatched Utah Tech defense.

Defensive transition and new coordinator

The defense lost coordinator Jay Hill to Michigan and now features Kelly Poppinga, formerly the special teams coach. While the unit returns key pieces like DT Keanu Tanuvasa, LB Cade Uluave, and S Faletau Satuala, the new scheme and coaching staff may take time to gel. Utah Tech's offense could test BYU's early cohesion, especially in the secondary where there are question marks.

Special teams overhaul

BYU must replace its kicker, punter, and long snapper from last season. Senior kicker Matthias Dunn and freshman punter Fuller Shurtz are unproven at the college level. In a game where BYU is heavily favored, any special teams miscues could keep the score closer than expected or affect field position.

Home-field advantage and weather factors

The game is at home in Provo, where BYU enjoys a strong home-field advantage (HFA 2.7). However, the forecast calls for patchy rain and a chilly 42°F, which could impact passing efficiency and ball security. The Cougars' run-heavy attack with Martin may be less affected, but the weather could slow down the offense's rhythm.

Potential for a slow start or blowout

Given the talent disparity and BYU's high-powered offense, the Cougars are expected to win comfortably. However, the combination of a new defensive coordinator, special teams uncertainty, and cold rain could lead to a sluggish first half. If BYU executes early, they should cover any spread; if not, Utah Tech could hang around longer than anticipated.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Cincinnati travels 1,443 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Cincinnati arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

How do Cincinnati and BYU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour BYU (17.5) over Cincinnati (4.4) by 13.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. BYU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates BYU as the stronger team by 13.1 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.