Week 13 • November 27, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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MAC
Power Rank: -13.3
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MAC
Power Rank: -20.6

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Buffalo (power rating: -13.3) carries a 7.3-point edge over Akron (-20.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Akron's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9) narrows that gap at InfoCision Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 AM EST
Stadium: InfoCision Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 1047 ft
HFA Rating: 1.9
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Buffalo -7.3

Line Value Calculator

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Buffalo
Akron
Home field — InfoCision Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Buffalo vs Akron at InfoCision Stadium?

Game-time forecast at InfoCision Stadium shows Clear — 69.7°F, Feels Like 59.9°F with winds of 4.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Clear

Clear

69.7°F

Feels Like: 59.9°F
Wind: 4.7 mph N
Gusts: 9.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 15%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Buffalo (Away)

This Week: 193.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4994.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 9

Akron (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 944.6 miles
Season Total: 3847.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 9

What are the key factors for Buffalo vs Akron?

Buffalo: Key Factors

Offensive line inexperience vs. UAlbany front

Buffalo returns only one starter on the offensive line, which was already a weak point last season. Against UAlbany, the Bulls will need to protect redshirt freshman QB Jason Wright and establish the run. If the line struggles, Wright could face heavy pressure, limiting the offense's effectiveness.

Quarterback development under new OC

Jason Wright is a promising dual-threat QB but has no starting experience. He must quickly adapt to Tony Tokarz's system. His ability to make plays with his legs and avoid turnovers will be critical, especially if the passing game takes time to gel with a rebuilt receiver corps.

Rebuilt defense faces FCS opponent

Buffalo's defense lost its coordinator and key players like All-American LB Red Murdock. The defensive line and linebackers are largely new, though the secondary returns experience. Against UAlbany, the defense must show cohesion and avoid big plays, as early-season chemistry is a concern.

Special teams uncertainty in cold, rainy conditions

Both kicker Oliver Hautanen and punter Ethan Stumpf are unproven, and the forecast calls for light rain and 44°F. Wet, cold weather could affect ball handling and kicking. Buffalo's special teams, a point of emphasis under Lembo, must be reliable to avoid giving UAlbany short fields.

Home-field advantage and season opener motivation

Buffalo opens at home with a 2.4-point HFA. Coach Lembo is known for game management and special teams, and the Bulls are motivated to prove they can compete after a rebuilding offseason. A strong start against an FCS opponent could build confidence for the MAC schedule.

Akron: Key Factors

Quarterback transition and offensive potential

Reese Poffenbarger takes over as starter after productive FCS years at UAlbany (60 passing TDs, 8 rushing TDs in two seasons) but limited FBS experience as a backup. His ability to quickly adapt to Wake Forest's defense will be critical, especially with a veteran supporting cast including RB Jordan Gant (1,032 yards, 2nd-team All-MAC) and WR Marcel Williams (641 yards, All-MAC candidate).

Offensive line concerns vs. Wake Forest front

Akron's offensive line returns seven rotational players but lost key production to the transfer portal. Wake Forest's defensive front, even in a rebuilding year, could exploit these gaps. The line's ability to protect Poffenbarger and open lanes for Gant will determine offensive consistency.

Defensive secondary as a strength

Akron's secondary, led by S Rodrick Hunter, CB Terence Thomas, and nickel Aamii Branch, is the defense's strongest unit. They will need to contain Wake Forest's passing attack, especially if the defensive line (Frazier twins, Cyrus Durham) fails to generate pressure. The return of Oregon transfer S Daymon David from injury could be a boost.

Road environment and weather factors

Akron travels 348 miles to face Wake Forest in a clear, 57°F game with 8 mph wind. The cool temperature and mild wind are neutral, but the road environment (HFA 2.3) adds challenge for a team that has struggled away from home. Akron must handle crowd noise and early-game jitters.

Special teams reliability

K Matthew Schramm (12/13 FG, 4/5 from 40+) and P Joseph Castle (42.9 avg) return, providing reliable kicking and punting. In a potentially low-scoring game, field position and field goals could be decisive. PR Sean Patrick adds return threat.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Buffalo travels 193 miles to this game, a short road trip.

How do Buffalo and Akron compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Buffalo (-13.3) over Akron (-20.6) by 7.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Akron faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Akron brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Buffalo as the stronger team by 7.3 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.