Troy (power rating: -7.1) carries a 1.9-point advantage over Arkansas State (-9.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1) narrows that gap at Centennial Bank Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Centennial Bank Stadium shows Clear, 88°F, heat index 90°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 30 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
88°F
| Measure | TroyAway | Arkansas StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 389 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 511 miles |
| Season total | 7,048 miles | 4,306 miles |
| Body clock | 14:00 | 14:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Troy travels 389 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
