@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 13 •
Peden Stadium

Toledo @ Ohio

0-0 MAC Power rating: -1.6
0-0 MAC Power rating: -4.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Toledo vs Ohio line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
OHIO -0.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TOLfavors OHIO ▸
TOL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
OHIO
OHIO
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 TOL1 OHIO2 TOL2 OHIO3 TOL3 OHIOModel: OHIO -0.4

Toledo (power rating: -1.6) carries a 3.2-point advantage over Ohio (-4.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ohio's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3) narrows that gap at Peden Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Ohio's extra rest. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Toledo vs Ohio at Peden Stadium?

The latest reading for Peden Stadium shows Fog, 65°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Toledo and Ohio compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Toledo (-1.6) over Ohio (-4.8) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ohio faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Ohio brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Toledo and Ohio?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Ohio -0.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Fog

65°F

Rain43%
Precip0.00"
Humidity98%
Wind3 mph NW
Gusts6 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Toledo at Ohio: aerial view of Peden Stadium, wind from the NW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Peden Stadium
Capacity
25,210
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

ToledoAway OhioHome
This week180 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total4,706 miles7,935 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest6 days9 days

Toledo travels 180 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.