Toledo (power rating: 0.4) carries a 9.2-point advantage over Ohio (-8.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Ohio's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3) narrows that gap at Peden Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Ohio's extra rest and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Peden Stadium shows Clear, 54°F with winds of 8 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
54°F

| Measure | ToledoAway | OhioHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 180 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 4,706 miles | 7,935 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 9 days |
Toledo travels 180 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.