Week 13 •
Ryan Field

Illinois @ Northwestern , Week 13, Nov 28, 2026

3-3 Big Ten Power rating: 4.5
4-1 Big Ten Power rating: 13.3

Is there value in the Illinois vs Northwestern line?

Market line
ILL -3.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NU -11.5
Edge
+15.0NU
See details
◂ favors ILLfavors NU ▸Market: ILL -3.5
NU
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NU
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ILL
5 ILL5 NU10 ILL10 NU15 ILL15 NUModel: NU -11.5

Betting information

Spread
ILL -3.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
ILL 28.0 – 24.5 NU

DraftKings · as of October 12, 2026

Northwestern (power rating: 13.3) holds a 8.8-point advantage over Illinois (4.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Northwestern's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Ryan Field. The market line is Illinois -3.5 and our model shows Northwestern -11.5; Likely missing information - not a betting signal. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Illinois vs Northwestern at Ryan Field?

The latest reading for Ryan Field shows Clear, 55°F with winds of 8 mph. Gusts reaching 26 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Illinois vs Northwestern?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Illinois -3.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Northwestern -11.5; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Illinois and Northwestern compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Northwestern (13.3) over Illinois (4.5) by 8.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Northwestern brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Northwestern -11.5, 15.0 points toward Northwestern against the market.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

55°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity36%
Wind8 mph SSW
Gusts26 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Illinois at Northwestern: aerial view of Ryan Field, wind from the SSW at 8.1 mph, gusting to 26.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CST
Venue
Ryan Field
Capacity
35,000
Elevation
594 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure IllinoisAway NorthwesternHome
This week139 miles1 miles
Last weekHome game688 miles
Season total5,827 miles5,570 miles
Body clock23:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Illinois travels 139 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.