New Mexico State (power rating: -15.1) carries a 3.2-point advantage over Middle Tennessee (-18.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Middle Tennessee's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from New Mexico State's trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium shows Clear, 51°F with winds of 7 mph. Gusts reaching 29 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
51°F

| Measure | New Mexico StateAway | Middle TennesseeHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,192 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,275 miles |
| Season total | 16,601 miles | 5,580 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 13:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
New Mexico State travels 1,192 miles to this game, a significant road trip. New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.