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Week 3 •
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Nevada @ Middle Tennessee

0-0 MW Power rating: -15.5
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -20.2

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Nevada vs Middle Tennessee line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NEV -1.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NEVfavors MTSU ▸
‹ 4.7 NEV
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MTSU
no impact
MTSU
no impact
no impact
1 NEV1 MTSU2 NEV2 MTSUModel: NEV -1.8

Nevada (power rating: -15.5) carries a 4.7-point advantage over Middle Tennessee (-20.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Middle Tennessee's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Nevada's long trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Nevada vs Middle Tennessee at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium?

The latest reading for Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium shows Clear, 70°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Nevada and Middle Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Nevada (-15.5) over Middle Tennessee (-20.2) by 4.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Middle Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Middle Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Nevada and Middle Tennessee?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Nevada -1.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

70°F

Rain26%
Precip0.00"
Humidity90%
Wind5 mph NNE
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Nevada at Middle Tennessee: aerial view of Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, wind from the NNE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Capacity
27,303
Elevation
656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

NevadaAway Middle TennesseeHome
This week1,840 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game562 miles
Season total1,840 miles562 miles
Body clock16:0018:00
Rest6 days7 days

Nevada travels 1,840 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

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