Week 10
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

South Florida @ East Carolina , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

0-0 American Power rating: 2.3
0-0 American Power rating: 0.3

Is there value in the South Florida vs East Carolina line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ECU -0.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors USFfavors ECU ▸
USF
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ECU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USF1 ECU2 USF2 ECUModel: ECU -0.4

South Florida (power rating: 2.3) carries a 2.0-point advantage over East Carolina (0.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. East Carolina's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4) narrows that gap at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect South Florida vs East Carolina at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium?

The latest reading for Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium shows Light rain shower, 76°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do South Florida and East Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (2.3) over East Carolina (0.3) by 2.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, East Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. East Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this East Carolina -0.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

76°F

Rain45%
Precip0.02"
Humidity78%
Wind3 mph W
Gusts4 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for South Florida at East Carolina: aerial view of Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, wind from the W at 3.4 mph, gusting to 3.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Capacity
51,000
Elevation
62 ft
Surface
Hybrid

Travel and rest

Measure South FloridaAway East CarolinaHome
This week606 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,493 miles3,962 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest7 days7 days

South Florida travels 606 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.